Monthly Archives: November 2006

Returns for November

November 30, 2006 – 5:49 pm

November +2.6%
Last Three Months +2.9%
Last Six Months +6.3%
Year to Date +23.9%
Last 12 Months +26.5%
Inception +37.2%
Annualized Inception +20.9%
BAX, HMX, HNP, WDFC, all hit stops on Monday and were sold at open on Tuesday. HNP hit a trailing, profit-taking stop. HMX broke a triangle to the downside. WDFC has returned to a region of significant congestion. BAX […]

By Bill | Posted in Returns On Trading | Comments (2)

“Boomer Bust?” I Don’t Think So!

November 29, 2006 – 6:00 am

One of the stories that I’m quite frankly getting tired of reading about, even peripherally, is the “boomer bust.” The most recent example comes from Random Roger, who references a Peter Brimelow column, which references a Richard Band newsletter. ARRGHH!!!
The typical “boomer bust” argument is that as boomers retire, funding will shift from growth […]

By Bill | Posted in General Market Commentary | Comments (10)

Oh, What A Feeling!

November 28, 2006 – 5:45 am

I’m just as curious as you are. Will Howard be installing a neon kit in a Scion xB? Will Lindsay go mudding in a new FJ Cruiser? Will one of the creepy extras be visiting Bill Ford and Rick Waggoner in their nightmares? I dunno. I’m hoping they take the […]

By Bill | Posted in Car Stuff, Car Companies, Car Tech, Specific Discussion of Individual Trades | Comments (0)

Still 889 Days

November 27, 2006 – 7:02 pm

Streak still intact at 889 days, although I did have a few of my babies hit their stops. I will sell at the open tomorrow and look through the watchlist for replacements. Technically speaking the S&P 500 broke its July trendline, but is still over the top of the 3.5-year trend channel. […]

By Bill | Posted in General Market Commentary, Returns On Trading | Comments (0)

On Golden Swans

November 27, 2006 – 6:56 pm

A reader referenced my previous post on Streaks, Distributions, Black Swans, and Golden Swans and asked for a histogram of the distributions. For clarity’s sake, I’ve included two box plot histograms.
This compares the actual distribution of daily results by range, to what would be expected of a “normal” distribution with the same mean and […]

By Bill | Posted in General Market Commentary | Comments (2)