Monthly Archives: March 2007

Adding More Long Exposure

One more addition and the portfolio will be effectively 100% long, i.e., there won’t really be room for any meaningful position adds without using margin. I am adding Air T (AIRT), a microcap value stock that is about 55% short-haul express air freight for FedEx and about 45% ground support equipment, including the only […]

Foreign Exposure

I am adding some foreign exposure through selected iShares ETFs. Despite their volatility, they actually are less volatile than the average stock I select, and therefore can retain a higher position size for the same risk to stop. The stock buys just made ranged from 1.8% to 6.7% of equity; these two ETFs […]

Additional Growth Stocks On The Watchlist

Three stocks were added to the watchlist this week, all from the Growth screener. No other action has been taken other than to add them to the list. These have risen close enough (within 15% off 52-week) to their highs to be caught by this screener, which requires proximity to the highs, relative […]

Predictive Model Output - Mar 23, 2007

Last week, the models were all bullish, but I wasn’t. In (additional) punishment, I will be quiet and let the models do all the talking. I should trust them more than my own judgement.
The S&P 500 closed at 1436.11.
The five-day “potential” model score is 80 on a scale of 1 to 100. […]

Here’s Your Incident

Here’s your “incident.”
“We” said, “it was a routine boarding operation of a merchant ship in Iraqi waters.” “We” also claim to be investigating smuggling when “we” were “accosted.” “We” only grudgingly and rarely admit to the boarded ship being Iranian; many press reports from “western” sources omit the boarded ship’s origin and many also […]