The S&P 500 closed at 1505.62.
The five-day “potential” model score is 73 on a scale of 1 to 100. A good even-odds score for next Friday would be 1510. Odds are probably 73% that the index is over 1491 at the close five days from now.
The twenty-day “potential” model score is 74 on a 1 to 100 scale. A good even-odds score for four Fridays from now would be 1527.
The twenty-day “safety” model score is 97 on a 1 to 100 scale. A good even-odds low point for the next four weeks would be 1488, the odds of falling below 1430 are about 2%, and the model gives 0% odds of falling below 1355 at any time in the next four weeks.
The 250-day “potential” model score is 77 on a 1 to 100 scale. A good even-odds score for a year from now would be 1701.
The 250-day “safety” model score is 90 on a 1 to 100 scale. A good even-odds low point for the next 250 sessions would be 1461, the odds of falling below 1355 are around 3.4%, and the model gives 0% odds of falling below 1129 at any time in the next 250 sessions.
My vote to the Blogger Sentiment Poll by TickerSense is “bullish.” I took the weekend off for some non-market projects and general weekend laziness, and submitted the vote early on Monday morning, so we’ll see if it “takes” on their survey.
